Thursday  8/14/1997  13:54:32

 <<< Posterior simulation matrix read from file sim97                                   

 Posterior moment analysis
  Total iterations available:      2000
          Burn-in iterations:       500
         Analysis iterations:      1500

 Function   1 Posterior mean:   9.8897102E-01 Posterior st dev:   1.6363791E-01

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       4.2251127E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       3.3484039E-03       1.592212
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       3.0372234E-03       1.935188
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       2.8495564E-03       2.198478

 Function   2 Posterior mean:   1.9874428E+00 Posterior st dev:   4.6391120E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       1.1978136E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       1.3449296E-03       0.793194
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       1.3358978E-03       0.803955
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       1.3309042E-03       0.810000

 Function   3 Posterior mean:   2.9570064E+00 Posterior st dev:   4.2646004E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       1.1011151E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       1.1898756E-03       0.856372
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       1.0445506E-03       1.111236
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       1.0047799E-03       1.200946

 Function   4 Posterior mean:   1.0977952E+00 Posterior st dev:   6.9565638E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       1.7961771E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       1.6259426E-03       1.220360
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       1.3942601E-03       1.659628
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       1.1054344E-03       2.640173

 Function   5 Posterior mean:   4.4456235E-01 Posterior st dev:   4.4930576E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       1.1601025E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       2.7895432E-03       0.172952
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       2.6012992E-03       0.198890
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       2.7410698E-03       0.179123

 Function   6 Posterior mean:   3.0080101E-01 Posterior st dev:   5.2319929E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       1.3508947E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       3.0349823E-03       0.198121
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       3.0459215E-03       0.196701
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       3.2217900E-03       0.175812

 Function   7 Posterior mean:   8.6413665E-02 Posterior st dev:   4.9278918E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       1.2723762E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       2.2928804E-03       0.307942
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       1.9371241E-03       0.431436
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       1.8978204E-03       0.449491

 Function   8 Posterior mean:  -9.1574651E-02 Posterior st dev:   4.6666991E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       1.2049365E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       2.0690668E-03       0.339140
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       1.8780050E-03       0.411656
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       1.6508847E-03       0.532715

   Moments evaluated:           8
            CPU time:      2.3525
 CPU time per moment:      0.2941
  Thursday  8/14/1997  13:54:35