Thursday  8/14/1997  14:12:39

 <<< Posterior simulation matrix read from file sim97                                   

 Posterior moment analysis
  Total iterations available:      1000
          Burn-in iterations:       100
         Analysis iterations:       900

 Function   1 Posterior mean:   8.7695139E-01 Posterior st dev:   9.2389184E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       3.0796395E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       2.6836420E-03       1.316893
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       2.6369719E-03       1.363920
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       2.5587702E-03       1.448562

 Function   2 Posterior mean:   1.0589576E-01 Posterior st dev:   8.2096055E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       2.7365352E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       2.6553198E-03       1.062107
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       3.0512135E-03       0.804372
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       3.4766676E-03       0.619549

 Function   3 Posterior mean:   1.2304861E-01 Posterior st dev:   9.2389184E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       3.0796395E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       2.6836420E-03       1.316893
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       2.6369719E-03       1.363919
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       2.5587703E-03       1.448562

 Function   4 Posterior mean:   8.9410424E-01 Posterior st dev:   8.2096055E-02

              Accuracy of approximation:         Numerical        Relative
                                                 Standard         Numerical
 Method--                                        Error            Efficiency
         Assuming no serial correlation:       2.7365352E-03       1.000000
 Autocovariance function tapered to  4%:       2.6553199E-03       1.062107
 Autocovariance function tapered to  8%:       3.0512136E-03       0.804372
 Autocovariance function tapered to 15%:       3.4766676E-03       0.619549

   Moments evaluated:           4
            CPU time:      0.3988
 CPU time per moment:      0.0997
  Thursday  8/14/1997  14:12:39